Fully loaded Maersk Hanoi container ship working at the Port of Koper. Guide cover: should you stock up on parts now, run the freight math first

Should You Stock Up on Parts Now? Run the Freight Math First

Your parts did not double in price this year. The container they arrived in nearly did. In late 2026, that second line decides whether a big order saves money or parks your cash.

The numbers lean one way. Drewry’s World Container Index read US$4,485 per 40ft container on 15 October 2026, roughly 2.6 times its level a year ago. The new FinditParts Heavy-Duty Price Index puts truck parts 5.7% above January 2024. And several African currencies hit record lows against the dollar this month. So: order more now, or wait? Run the math first.

The short version

  • Freight is the swing line: $4,485 per 40ft box, about 2.6x last year (Drewry, 15 Oct 2026).
  • A container costs about the same to ship full or half full, so bigger orders cut the freight per part.
  • Stock 3-6 months of fast movers. Do not tie cash in slow movers – your fuel budget needs it more.

1. What you actually pay for a part

The invoice shows the part price. You actually pay four things: the part, the freight, the surcharges and the exchange rate. Right now the part is the calm one. Freight is the wild one, and carriers are already pushing the next round: Drewry reports FAK offers of $4,500-4,800 per 40ft from 19 October, on top of peak-season and fuel surcharges. If your currency moved like Uganda’s shilling – past 4,000 per dollar for the first time – waiting already made everything dearer.

Three numbers moving landed cost in late 2026: ocean freight 4485 dollars per 40ft container about 2.6 times a year ago, heavy truck parts up 5.7 percent since January 2024, and record-low African currencies against the dollar
Gantry cranes loading a container ship at Davao International Container Terminal in the Philippines

Photo: Robinson Ninal / Presidential Photographers Division (Philippines), public domain, via Wikimedia Commons.

2. The only math that matters: freight per part

A container costs about the same to ship full or half full. So watch freight divided by the parts inside. One 40ft box at $4,485 carrying 200 parts is about $22 of freight per part. The same box a year ago was about $9. Fill it with 400 parts and the freight falls to about $11 each. That is the whole case for fewer, bigger orders – if the parts will actually sell.

Bar chart of freight per part as a container fills: 100 parts cost 44.9 dollars each, 200 parts 22.4, 400 parts 11.2, 800 parts 5.6, with a line showing the same 200-part box cost about 9 dollars a year ago. Example from Drewry WCI 4485 dollars per 40ft

3. Stock the parts that stop the truck

Give shelf space to fast movers that leave a truck stranded: oil filters, fuel filters, air filters, brake pads and brake linings, ribbed belts, air dryer cartridges and common bushings. A dusty-road truck burns these all year. Keep the slow stuff shallow: parts for one old truck, big single items like axles, electronics, and rubber that ages on the shelf. One number keeps it honest: a day of downtime costs about $448-760 per truck (Ryder) – more than any filter here.

Two-column card: stock deep in oil fuel and air filters, brake pads and linings, ribbed belts, air dryer cartridges and common bushings; keep shallow in parts for one old truck, big single items, fast-changing electronics and rubber that cannot be rotated

4. The honest other side: cash

Diesel is at record highs – $6.20 a gallon in the US, 2 pounds a litre in the UK – and fuel is 25-30% of a fleet’s running cost. Your cash is tight, and stock eats cash – about 20-30% of its value per year to hold. So do not empty the fuel budget into shelves: hold three to six months of your top ten fast movers, and buy big parts when a truck needs them.

5. Waiting is not free either

Nobody can promise freight will fall. Demand is still strong, rate rounds keep coming, and parts makers say factory prices keep rising. If you need the parts anyway, one full container now usually beats two half-empty shipments later.

The bottom line. This year freight moves your cost more than the part price – fill the container with parts that keep trucks working, and keep cash for fuel. Send us your part numbers – or a photo of the worn part – and we will quote within one working day and help plan a container that fits.

Further reading: how often to change filters on dusty roads, which worn parts waste fuel and how long your HOWO will last.

Cover photo: “MAERSK HANOI Container Ship (Port Koper SIKOP, 2023)” by Petar Milošević, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons.

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